Auction Bidding Techniques
by Don Wetzell
Auction bidding techniques! "Tis not a simple
thing. Somebody's always changing the rules.
When asked to come up with a few thoughts
on this topic, I had to pause and think. For one thing,
the bidding of some buyers is a thoughtfully worked
out formula, a very private thing which they would
hate to see show up in print. So, I'll deal with the more
general principals, pointing out in particular how the
tactics need changing as the rules of each auction are
considered.
Bidding has to start from a knowledge of what a
given record usually sells for, and many collectors new
to auction buying have anxious moments here.
Experience is the sure answer, but that takes time.
There are always surprises in what records sell for.
Some dealers do inform you as to what the item you
missed sold for, which gives you a current update as to
what someone was willing to pay for it. A few publish
lists of the winning bids at billing time, a most informative document for learning current price levels. Such lists, taken into proper perspective, are a valuable
resource, for example, to an appraiser in his business of
evaluating an estate containing a major record collection. If you do your homework with such lists, you are
far better prepared to bid effectively.
Every auction has its own rules,its unique constituancy with its particular bidding habits. You do not
get an equivalent record at the same price in different
auctions. You can often buy a record for less when its
subject matter is a minor issue in the auction that is
offering it. You find less of your type offered, but you
have less competition.
Consider now a record you want to bid on in a
current auction: you need to keep in mind one of three
tactics to use after you consider its current value.
Suppose there are a number of records you are
marginally interested in. It wouldn't break your heart to
miss out on some. You can gamble that there will not
be much competition, and bid just a bit over minimum
bid. Most established dealers would be satisfied with
selling it that way than not at all. This shotgun
approach can produce a 5-to-10% rate of success,
depending on the intensity of bidding on that subject
matter. I've seen some try that on the hottest items in
the auction to almost complete failure, so don’t waste
your's or the auctioneer's time entering shotgun bids on
high demand items. The middle of the road bid is one
which tries to equate with the current accepted value.
You can come close to a 50% chance of success with
this unless the particular auction is being unusually
heavily bid on.
In my last two auctions, the bidding has been so
intense that an average buyer got only 20% of what he
bid on! Part of that phenomena is that prices are on the
rise, and all buyers have not caught onto the new levels
of action. Thirdly, there can be a case of your finding
listed a record you have sought for years, perhaps one
that will help complete a collection of a particular
artist. Would you be happy with 50% odds for such a
record? 60%, 70%, 80%? 90%! (That's more like it.)
For such an item so special to you, bid at least double
the normal accepted value. When will you get offered
that item again? Do what you are able to do to land the
big one. I have sold even common records to people
who bid that way, but they practically insured that they
would be successful, and were happy with the results.
If you are bidding on a true closed bid auction,
stop and think who your real competition is, and how
you can beat them out. If you are thinking about
$10.00 and only bid $10.00, you will only get it if there
are no other bids in that area, or that yours was the first
bid of an even ten dollars. You are not competing with
a $9.00 or an $11.00 bidder, so what can you do? You
use cent increments over the even ten bucks, keeping as
close as you can to beat out competition that also goes
a few cents more than the even money. Some use
$10.01, $10.06, $10.11, $10.16, etc. You figure your own
tactics. If you know what bid you lost out to before,
and they always bid in 11 cent increments above even
dollars, you bid 12. You can expect him to raise occasionally. This is where real competition and tactics have
a part in your auction bidding. I leave you to your own
little schemes in this department. There are many. I
appreciate odd cent bids because it greatly reduces the
incident of tie bids. So many people who bid just in
even dollars lose out that it's worth considering.
Perhaps the auction you are interested in is not a
closed bid type, but has some scheme
of letting you top
the current highest bid by phone or letter, usually with a
clause calling for at least a 10% rise. You usually have to
log in with a letter bid to qualify for later raises in that
way. Lets contrast bidding tactics with closed and open
auctions: I have strong opinions on this, so I admit in
advance that my point on this may not be objective.
A closed bid auction works well with customers
spread throughout the country and the world who have
greatly varied access for follow-up
adjustments. You can
start with your strongest bid, knowing,if you trust your
dealer, that your bid will be revealed to no one else. In
contrast, with an open auction you do not reveal your
true interest in the record with your first bid, you simply
log in with a modest bid, and hope to raise it as necessary at the final hour to what it’s really worth to you. You
hope that you will end up paying less for it.
My opinion is that the open bid mail auction tries
to give you the competition of a live, all customers-in-attendance auction where they can bid each other up till
someone prevails. But, this cannot be. There is such a
disparity of access for updating between bidders, that
there is no way to be fair to everyone. In fact, it gives
advantage mostly to the local boys who can up their bids
with a quick local call. On closing day, the phone lines
and faxes are really humming. Key items keep changing
hands through most of the day. The phone line is so
busy, that not everyone can get through. I think you can
see some reasons why I prefer to be fair to everyone and
run a closed-bid auction. You can always change your
bid up to closing time at midnight, should you feel that
you had bid unwisely. You really do compete, but in the
context of a mail-auction you do it from the very beginning when you calmly work out what your bid should
be. I find that more buyers end up being satisfied with
the closed bid style.
There's been another twist in auctioning lately that
has intrigued me as to the best tactics to take advantage
of it. One dealer, maybe more, will reduce your bid to
only 10% over the second bid whatever that is. This
sounds great — as if you'd always pay less, but stop and
think. With that kind of rule the strategy of bidding
changes. You can bid higher to win without having to
pay as much as you bid, you hope! What happens if two
bidders both bid high on the same item. You'll end up
paying more for sure, so as the buyers get used to that
possibility, the advantages slip away as sharp bidders get
used to bidding higher. The dealer in question says that
the result, I speculate, hasn't been seen by him much
yet, but I theorize that it is just a matter of time. I'd like
to have your input should you differ or agree,in the
"Letters" section of this publication in the months
ahead. I hope you have increased success with bidding.
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